Anthropic's Jack Clark tells the IMF and World Bank meetings that an internal Anthropic model has US output reaching $44 trillion by 2030, and calls the figure “outlandish” himself

Jack Clark, a co-founder of Anthropic, spoke at the IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok on Saturday 17 October, Reuters reported. He said AI's capabilities are improving fast enough to speed up change across many fields.

He cited an internal Anthropic economic model in which US output reaches $44 trillion by 2030, against just over $30 trillion today, Reuters reported, describing that as almost a 50% rise under certain conditions. Clark said the estimate “sounds very outlandish, I know”, and that it assumes the technology continues to get better. The figure is Anthropic's own projection, not a forecast by the IMF or anyone outside the company.

Clark tied the speed-up to risk. “Being able to use AI for science opens us up to the misuses of science as well”, he said, according to Reuters, naming biological and cyber weapons. He called biology an area “where we want the strictest human oversight and transparency to maintain safety”, urged international cooperation on “unusual and serious rules”, and said the window to put safeguards in place is “a small number of years”.

Reuters also reported that he pointed both to job losses in call centres and customer service and to gains in scientific research. The account here comes from Reuters' report, carried by several US radio news sites; Clark's own transcript was not found.

• Reported Clark spoke at the IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok on 17 October, Reuters reported. Reuters, via SRN News
• Claimed Clark cited an internal Anthropic model with US output at $44 trillion by 2030, against just over $30 trillion now, and said it “sounds very outlandish, I know”, according to Reuters. Reuters, via SRN News
• Claimed Clark said biology needs “the strictest human oversight and transparency to maintain safety” and that there is “a small number of years” to put safeguards in place, according to Reuters. Reuters, via WinCountry